Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.042384 0.049034 0.055882 0.063428 0.071475 0.079772 0.088942
2025-10-26 0.031686 0.041226 0.051607 0.063581 0.076869 0.091039 0.107174
2025-11-02 0.025354 0.036608 0.049431 0.064760 0.082268 0.101376 0.123560
2025-11-09 0.020270 0.032473 0.047006 0.064936 0.085917 0.109246 0.136744
2025-11-16 0.015256 0.027612 0.043073 0.062787 0.086415 0.113157 0.145120
2025-11-23 0.011351 0.023544 0.039617 0.060782 0.086722 0.116553 0.152644
2025-11-30 0.009346 0.021755 0.038811 0.061820 0.090474 0.123794 0.164444
2025-12-07 0.007836 0.020439 0.038455 0.063285 0.094635 0.131431 0.176630
2025-12-14 0.006842 0.019758 0.038853 0.065633 0.099814 0.140224 0.190123
2025-12-21 0.005589 0.018422 0.038200 0.066513 0.103102 0.146710 0.200873
2025-12-28 0.005539 0.019197 0.040567 0.071380 0.111370 0.159164 0.218643
2026-01-04 0.004085 0.017087 0.038563 0.070299 0.112076 0.162462 0.225569
2026-01-11 0.003271 0.016112 0.038269 0.071624 0.115996 0.169863 0.237639
2026-01-18 0.002384 0.014722 0.037234 0.071887 0.118550 0.175624 0.247807
2026-01-25 0.001812 0.013871 0.036963 0.073159 0.122371 0.182915 0.259792
2026-02-01 0.001214 0.012660 0.035983 0.073348 0.124726 0.188360 0.269528
2026-02-08 0.000549 0.010630 0.033389 0.071057 0.123700 0.189524 0.274021
2026-02-15 0.000161 0.008856 0.031001 0.068917 0.122768 0.190724 0.278491
2026-02-22 0.000060 0.008306 0.030812 0.070025 0.126167 0.197338 0.289526
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.007940 0.030937 0.071589 0.130171 0.204706 0.301479
2026-03-08 0.000002 0.007888 0.031676 0.074092 0.135455 0.213693 0.315415
2026-03-15 NaN 0.007376 0.031423 0.075030 0.138581 0.219937 0.325985
2026-03-22 NaN 0.008141 0.033867 0.080209 0.147548 0.233616 0.345693